inflation will rise to 1.4% in 2021

The trend à la hausse de l’inflation is confirmed. After a cycle of many years of feasible level (0.2% in 2019 and 0.7% in 2020), it will rise in 2021 to 1.4%, according to the price index published by the HCP. Ce qui était attendu, vu la tendency à la hausse des prix à la consommation observée ces derniers mois. The trend will continue to grow this year, since inflation will rise to 2.1%, expected to drop to 1.4% in 2023, according to Bank Al-Maghrib projections. The HCP is attending, how much, to an inflation rate of 1.8% in 2022.

L’année dernière at-elle sonné la fin de l’inflation basse ? After a cycle of many years of feasible levels (0.2% in 2019 and 0.7% in 2020), inflation will rise in 2021 to 1.4% soit will double the level observed the previous year, according to the index des prix à la consommation (IPC) published by the Haut-Commissariat au Plan (HCP).

The annual indicator of sous-jacent inflation (which excludes products at volatile prices and products at public tariffs) is, the amount of lui, established at 1.7%, according to the HCP. Ce que était attendu, vu la tendency à la hausse des prix à la consommation observée ces derniers mois que, comme l’a relevé Bank Al-Maghrib (BAM), à l’occasion de la réunion quarterly de son Conseil de Bank Al -Maghrib dim on Mardi 21 decembre. “The gifts available on the prix à la consumption font ressortir des hausses sensible ces derniers mois pour certains produits alimentarires et pour les carburants et lubrifiants”. Cette évolution résulte essentiellement, avait I explained the Banque centrale, des pressions externes liées à la flambée de leurs cours sur les marchés internationaux.

Ce rythme d’évolution devrait se poursuivre et même s’accentuer cette année, mais l’inflation «devrait rester à des niveaux contenus», avait rassuré BAM. It will grow to 2.1% in 2022, expected to drop to 1.4% in 2023, according to Bank Al-Maghrib projections. Le HCP s’attend, quant à lui, à un évolution de l’inflation de 1.8% cette année. Because of the fact that the component is sous-jacente de l’inflation, elle a connu un nette accélération, selon BAM, puisqu’elle est passée de 0.7% en moyenne au cours du first semester 2021 a 2% au troisième quarter et to 3.3% in November. It devrait ressortir, according to BAM, at 1.7% on the ensemble of 2021 and it is situated at 2.7% in 2022 before returning to 1.8% in 2023 “after the dissipation prévue des pressions externes”.

By 2021, the increase in the IPC is the result of the increase in the index of food products of 0.8% and the increase in the rate of non-food products of 1.8%. The variations recorded for non-food products from a trade of 0.2% for communications to a trade of 5.9% for transport. For the city, the most important houses of the annual IPC are registered in Beni-Mellal with 2%, in Casablanca (1.9%), in Settat (1.7%), in Marrakech and Safi (1.6 %), to Errachidia (1.5%), to Meknès (1.4%) and to Kénitra, Rabat, Tangier and Al-Hoceïma (1.3%). On the other hand, the most moderate houses are registered in the provinces of the Sahara, namely Laâyoune (0.4%), Dakhla (0.6%) and Guelmim (0.7%).

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